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Predictions for 2012 said on January 15th, 2012 at 5:26 pm :

[…] It’s taken me a week to get my thoughts together about what 2012 may bring us, but here’s to a ritual that I’ve kept up for the better part of a decade. To be fair, predictions are really nothing but glorified educated guesses, but it feels appropriate to start a year with hopes for good (and not so good) news. First, let’s take a look at how I fared with 2011’s predictions: […]

Jan 2, 2011 | New Years Predictions for 2011

The idea of predictions and resolutions for New Years is fairly stupid were it not for the fact that I’ve been doing this already for several years and it’s always interesting to see what I’ve predicted in years past. To recap what happened in 2010:

Looking back at my predictions from 2010:

Technology

It’s pretty much obvious column:
1. iPod Touch 4th generation brings in camera and microphone Yes
2. Apple releases a tablet PC Yes
3. 4G networks emerges Yes
4. Twitter starts running ads No
First mainstream SSD laptops emerge Yes
Sirius/XM folds No
T-Mobile takes on iPhone No
Retailers start implementing widespread taxation on online purchases Not really
Space tourists increase to a dozen or so as commercial space aviation takes off No
Mobile barcode-based transactions emerge as the new currency Not really

People

Kim Jong-il and Castro passes away No
OJ Simpson, Britney Spears also pass away No
Barack Obama gets targeted in an attack but is not harmed No

Economy

Unemployment levels remain the same. Yes
Gas prices soar midyear to nearly $4 a gallon after Middle East/OPEC decisions lower barrel output. No

Science and Environment

An earthquake along a midocean ridge sparks concern about islands, tsunami Yes
Scientists claim to have successfully cloned a monkey No

I think the one about the earthquake is perhaps the only one that’s fairly spot on, and it’s certainly not a particularly good one to say “aha, I got that one”. Regardless, onwards we march with predictions for 2011:

Technology

1. iPad 2 comes out with a camera and a smaller size.
2. Google or Apple makes a major PR gaffe.
3. Facebook comes out with a branded phone.
4. 3D television finally hits mainstream and efforts are made to integrate the technology into laptops as well.
5. Color e-Ink is demonstrated.
6. Twitter finally comes up with a business model.

People and places

1. Kim Jong Il or Castro dies.
2. Julian Assange disappears or goes into hiding.
3. South Sudan peacefully secedes from the north.

Economy

1. Gas prices soar during the summer.
2. Unemployment drops as does, unfortunately, Obama’s ratings.

Science and the Environment

1. A major volcano erupts.
2. A new element is discovered.
3. There’s a brief flurry of excitement regarding extraterrestrials.

This entry was posted on Sunday, January 2nd, 2011 at 2:23 am, EST under the category of Future Me. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.